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Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. They agree to within a factor of two! For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Step 2. So whats the probability of your existing? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Want to Read. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Please pass this post along. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. This button displays the currently selected search type. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Step 1. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Thats three billion years, or about 150,000 generations, of reproduction without a hitch. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Thank you, Monsignor. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Me neither. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. June 24, 2022 . Step 3. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. But lets make it longer. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. I think that was exactly Msgr. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). You can start the series by clicking HERE. Step 3. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Same to all of us. Step 1. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. A lovely day to you. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . xx, Lets be social! You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. You get the volume of planet Earth. And worry and fear? That's 150,000 generations. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell Wowser. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Scripture says. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Also follow me on Instagram @RecovHer and visit my RecovHer YouTube Channel for more sober tools and tips. Do you know the odds of being alive? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. This includes personalizing content and advertising. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Your email address will not be published. Maybe that one would have been better. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. What are the odds of that? The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Even if they couldn't read them yet. dr ali binazir odds of being born. I would call that a personal relationship with God. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. Those who are brave (foolish?) And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. On one try.. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. But Im not mathy. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? On one try. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Step 1. And to get even more woo-woo, I believe we each have a team of ancestors, Spirit Guides and Angels looking after us who love us so much. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir.